In this instance, counting barrels means jack-$4!7.
As Mike points out, the spill is already damaging the economies of the states along the Gulf Coast, and seriously. Even if it's just because of POTENTIAL in most cases, tourist numbers are not down - they're NON-EXISTANT. Commercial fishing in the northern Gulf has shut down.
That's the immediate, short-term effect.
That's SMALL POTATOES, folks.
This has the potential to cause so much harm to both the environment and the economy in general that we should all be freaking just a bit.
You don't live in the GC area, why should you be worried, eh? Indeed...well, guess what Skippy, when the collapse of the economy in the entire GC region occurs because of the loss of tourism, that's just the first domino. The guy that has the small hotel on the beach in Gulf Shores, AL closes up because of no business. So, he's out of work, his staff of say...5 people...are out of work...they can't buy food, they can't buy cars, they can't buy gas, they can't pay their rent/mortgage. Now the checkout girl at Piggly Wiggly is unemployed, because business at the grocery store is down....want me to keep going?
That's TOURISM, commercial fishing is a multi-BILLION dollar industry in the GC area. All those folks are unemployed.
You think that won't touch you in Seattle or in Portland, ME? Not today. Not next week. Maybe even not next month...but EVENTUALLY, it touches everyone in the US. Not in the US? Guess what, the US is the biggest consumer in the world right now...what happens when they aren't anymore?
Will it go down this way? Don't know...CAN IT? Yes, it can. Don't think so? Check your history folks, ever hear of the Dust Bowl? You think that the stock market crash of 1929 caused the Great Depression? You're wrong, that was the start of it, but once the Dust Bowl event occurred, it all unravelled. This is almost the same scenario - major upheaval in the economy due to poor management of the stock market gets the economy in a tenuous position, then a man-made ecological disaster pushes the economy right off it's teetering point, IN THE WRONG DIRECTION.
I hope I'm just yelling about the sky falling, and you can all call me Chicken Little one day. I really, really hope so.
...and I haven't even started about how this will be a very difficult issue to deal with from a direct ecological POV with the salt marshes in south Louisiana, that are already under threat because of the way the oil industry has used them...imagine hurricane Katrina barreling up from due south of New Orleans, but NO salt marshes left on the southern part of the state...
This may not be the biggest oil spill in history from a BPD standpoint, it may never even crack the top 10 (I don't believe the numbers BP is spewing for a second though), but from an economic/environmental standpoint, this COULD become a disaster of unimagined proportions.
Signed
A Hopeful Chicken Little