I have a 1978 Ampeg B-15S with the original power tubes in it and have a 67 Fender Bassman that had the original power tubes in it when I first got it, one of them was microphonic though so I had to put a couple of other 6L6's I had lying around.
Yep, sometimes a tube might start making noise like popping or sputtering. Sometimes the bias will drift so you can't get a good current match with the other tubes. Sometimes a tube may arc and pull fuse. Sometimes a tube may stop conducting. Sometimes a set of tubes may bias up fine, but sound weak and nasty. I probably missed something, but hopefully you get the idea: Tubes can fail in many ways.
I still don't advocate for buying a spare set of output tubes due to the warranty issue. IMHO, if you're going to buy a spare set, put them in the amp to make sure they are good, and keep the old tubes as the spares.
Of course if you're a road dog, that's a different matter. At a certain level, a road dog would probably carry a spare amp. A high level tour would have an amp tech as well.