Small signal tubes are generally expected to last for years, if not decades. However, any tube can fail randomly at any time. I would try a new tube.
AFAIK the Black Box uses a 12AX7. On a different forum, Brad Sarno recommended avoiding tubes with spiral wound filaments. This is because the tube is run with relatively high voltage on the cathode, which can result in arcing between the cathode and heater.
Ref:
What brand of 12AX7 is good for Sarno Black Box. : The Steel Guitar Forum
My understanding is many recent New Sensor designs use spiral wound filaments, which is supposed to reduce hum. However, these tubes may not meet the cathode to heater voltage spec for the tube type, and may fail fairly quickly if used in a circuit that places very much voltage on the cathode.
Effected brands may include current production Tung Sol, Electro Harmonix, Mullard, Genalex, Svetlana, Sovtek.
I believe common Chinese do not have this problem. Probably not a problem for NOS or ANOS tubes either.
Some of my favorite 12AX7 types have this problem. I have tried to avoid placing various New Sensor tubes in circuits where it could be a problem. I just found out the JJ uses spiral wound filaments. So I guess now I have to consider potential problems with JJs as well

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