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Future of music

That's my point: 5 percent of any genre or style of music will be great. There is plenty of great synth music. There's just a lot more synth rubbish. This is the case in every genre you can name.

What kind of regression formula to determine the great five percent? I.e., whose taste is modeled, and what is the standard?

There was just an article in the LA Times about how the local 7-11 convenience stores are driving away loiters by piping classical music into the parking lot. It literally drives people away. The author of the Times editorial said subjecting people to classical music against their will was akin to putting spikes on benches, that it verged on hateful. So clearly the "classics" are not regarded as such by all, and quality is thus evidently relative.
 
When the sterility of the pixilated screen finally makes humans crave actual physical presence, live music will rule again.

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Depends on your definition of “music”.

One definition is, quite simply, “organized sound”. By that definition, computers are capable of making music.

Perhaps what you’re trying to say is that computers do not produce art. Again, it depends on definitions. If we define “art” as “the subjective expression of human emotions, values, or principles”, then no, a computer can’t make art.

But, computers only do what they’re programmed to do. And since we haven’t reached the Terminator future yet, all computers are still being programmed by humans, which means a computer is a valid tool for human expression.

It’s a gray area, to be sure. Sophisticated tools like computers certainly make it easier to create a dope beat with sick bass drops, but there’s still a human involved somewhere.

Anyway, this sort of illustrates my earlier point: The music industry will latch on to anything that generates cash with minimal expense. As long as consumers are willing to buy music created with (or by) computers, then that phenomenon will persist.

When I was studying audio I had teacher tell me and really he thought the future of music went something like this.
"Ok Google make a song D minor early Beatles vibe with extra bass and some grit"

Actually AI are already composing music. And for applications like movie soundtracks, it's gotten remarkably good.

A New AI Can Write Music as Well as a Human Composer

When the sterility of the pixilated screen finally makes humans crave actual physical presence, live music will rule again. At least until somebody teaches a computer to sweat.

I wouldn't say this as though it were some distant future. I see substantial crowds at live performances all the time, all ages. Not necessarily at cover band gigs trudging through Pat Benatar at a local dive bar, though that happens too sometimes. Went to see Trombone Shorty when I was in Kansas City last June. Standing behind me was a hipster couple with tattoos and ear gages, and their 4-year-old daughter who wanted them to go to the show because she read a picture book at Trombone Shorty at the local library. The band opening for him was called the Seratones; just last week my wife and I caught them headlining a small club in Boston, with a fairly good draw for an unknown band.



The only time you’ll usually see some form of music becoming “the next new thing” for any length of time is when it becomes wedded to a larger social movement, issue, or cause. (e.g. Folk music + equal rights. Late 60s rock + the antiwar movement. Grundge + the then emerging American northwest social awareness and cultural scene. etc.) Otherwise it’s just another short lived fad driven form of entertainment

Personally, I think the notion of linking music essentially to causes is exaggerated. Grunge may have voiced a reaction against over-polished late-80s pop and hair metal but I didn't see any epochal movement driven by it. Folk and rock in the 60s happened to provide a soundtrack for the movements of that generation, but it wasn't really as essential to it as all that and that moment of time hardly provides a model for musical movements in history more broadly.

Speaking of history, I think it can be good to put things in a longer-term perspective. For most of the history of music, a new musical style or genre emerged maybe once a generation or once a century... or two. People weren't running around with their heads cut off chasing some "new sound," they just... played and enjoyed music. It's the advent of commercial audio recording and radio in the 20s and 30s that start this consumerist obsession with novelty in music, and a great deal of the seeming new genres were really just taking what had been local styles (like jazz) and amplifying them out to mass audiences.

Myself, I think there's plenty of great new music out there. I hardly ever find myself listening to much that's older than the last 10 years or so. I don't worry so much if it's a "new thing" or invented new genre, I just like stuff I find. I mentioned the Seratones above. Samantha Fish is my current utter favorite...


And I dig on the Ben Miller Band...


And the Ghost of Paul Revere...


And hey, tonight I'm going to see Tinariwen...


Not finding awesome new music you love? Look harder. Who cares what's popular or making money? Enjoy the music.
 
It is currently as plentiful as ketchup, and used as liberally. It has its place but it is akin to photoshopping in that singers who eschew it risk being judged deficient against what is essentially an "impossible standard."

Please don't dis ketchup like that! :D

At age 63, I guess I'm "old school" in that I much prefer singers who actually have talent.

I personally *despise* the sound of autotune. But that's just me! :)
 
3-D immersive computer game and Virtual Reality sound tracks that react to the player and the virtual environment! There is so much going on in this space and computer games are big business. The music business used to make rock stars that drew people to big real-world events. Now everyone is plugged into the internet so they can gather together without ever leaving their home....or phone. Its a different world out there. Not necessarily a bad thing....the world is growing a central nervous system and games are thoughts.
 
I think live shows will be a big part of the future, people watching people, maybe smaller local shows which is bad for musicians hoping to get rich or even earn a living. I'm super excited about this band Jinjer from watching the live shows on youtube (lame I know, lol) but I can't imagine a studio album being better than their concerts, they are super tight live with incredible energy
 
Please don't dis ketchup like that! :D

At age 63, I guess I'm "old school" in that I much prefer singers who actually have talent.

I personally *despise* the sound of autotune. But that's just me! :)

It's funny, there's a young woman I met and became friends with, originally because she was thinking of enrolling at the college where I teach and wanted to know about the history program. She has recorded and released music out in LA and, for a while, was talking about joining up with my band Granite State Rhythm to play some gigs (her school plans wound up taking her to Scotland, so that didn't pan out). Her LA stuff is heavily processed and autotuned, to the point that the rest of the band was dubious about playing with her, wondering if she really had the chops to perform live. Then she's on social media sharing a cell phone vid of herself singing and... holy crap. She's fantastic.

I guess the point being, I despise autotune too. But it doesn't follow that the singers have no talent. It's a sound the industry pushes, which is a shame because it squelches some genuine ability smothered underneath it all.
 
At age 63, I guess I'm "old school" in that I much prefer singers who actually have talent.
Totally agree, plus I can't stand female 'singers' that don't write their own music or play anything and rely on exposing lots of flesh and stupid synchronized dancing as a substitute for talent. Beyonce and so on. I love being old and cranky! :D
 
Just curious what you think the next big thing in music will be

Great question. Answer is "there won't be a big thing". The decades between 1920 and 1990 were an anomaly, where a small handful of businesses dictated what everyone could listen to.

That business model is now stone cold dead. You can listen to anything you want, find anything you might like, get it from dozens of different places. Marketing guys call this "fragmented".

It's a godsend for those of us who like variety, and poison for those who loved the idea of selling ten million, or even one million recordings. Those days are done.