I would check out the finish on the neck heel, as well as the orientation of the annular rings there. I wonder if the finish is a bit permeable, and if the end grain might be soaking up and/or releasing moisture faster than normal. Neck heels are all end grain; think of the science experiment most of us did in elementary school, where you put the end of a piece of celery into colored water. The color travels right up the celery stalk. It could not hurt to have a few coats of oil varnish applied to the neck heel.
Arnold, maybe bingo! There is no finish on the neck heel. All worn off. What time of year would you suggest doing this in Chicago?
Thanks!!!