Hey, Toasty. I agree with you. People are saying that an Auburn win here will totally undermine Saban's career. It would be heartbreaking for sure, but I think that's far fetched. Also, a lot of Auburn fans are star struck on the Gus Bus right now and seem to think that a loss to Bama means Gus doesn't have what it takes to beat Saban without Cam Newton. I think that's quite a stretch as well.
At the end of the day Saturday, this is just a meeting of two really good teams. One I think is on a bit of a decline (Bama) while the other is on the up-and-up. It's great for the state so I'm just going to enjoy it, win or lose.
To talk more specifics, I'm afraid that Auburn will have a few trick plays that could pull our secondary off coverage, allowing for some quick explosive scores. That could be the difference in the game if we also manage to cough up the ball once or twice as we've done this season at the wrong times. I think it's going to take that kind of day for Auburn to win it. If both teams play well but don't make major mistakes, I think Bama wins pretty handily. Since Bama has managed to show up flat and sleepwalk for 30 minutes in several games this year, I'm not extremely confident we can come in and set our pace.
I'm very much looking forward to seeing if Auburn can run the ball against Alabama. I don' think Marshall can win it with his arm. I also feel confident that Bama will move the ball well on Auburn, so they'll score points (35 or so I'd say). So for me, the game comes down to how well Auburn can score. On paper, I say they should be able to move it for a 300-350 yards of total offense. My gut tells me 200-250. My gut has been really stupid before though.
If Yeldon's ankle is too sore to play aggressively, this could be a long day for Bama. AJ has to have another stellar game if so, which I think he can. We just can't fumble the ball.
I can't wait to see Mosley and what he does to the Auburn run game. We'll need him to contain Marshall and that running attack.
Our secondary HAS to watch their cues and not bite on play action, flea flickers, or any other nonsense that Gus is sure to pull. We can't let trickery cost us big yardage.
It's going to be fun. Should only get better in the years to come.