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For me, this right here is why the sense of doom is so high with this one. When your biggest problem(s!) are with the thing that drives the very first movements of the thing away from the ISS and is supposed to then put it into a landing trajectory, it stacks the deck against success in a way that seems to depend on a ridiculous amount of luck to get right....uncontrollable service module...
Since the return is unmanned, it wouldn't be tacky to say...
"Place your bets, ladies and gentlemen, place your bets!"
"Will the capsule return to earth to land safely on the ground at White Sands, New Mexico, or won't it?"
There are so many failure points (uncontrollable service module, capsule parachute failure, etc), that I left it as a binary question. Feel free to ponder at what point a failure may occur. Captain Obvious hopes it's not by recontacting the ISS.
I'm going with the capsule will make it safely to the ground. If I lose, I'll change my avatar.
Just wait. In all likelihood Boeing will still win the contract.For me, this right here is why the sense of doom is so high with this one. When your biggest problem(s!) are with the thing that drives the very first movements of the thing away from the ISS and is supposed to then put it into a landing trajectory, it stacks the deck against success in a way that seems to depend on a ridiculous amount of luck to get right.
Taken as a whole, Boeing is way out of luck already. One can almost envision a baker getting ready to put the icing on the metaphorical cake.
But hey, we'll see.![]()
Got to feel bad for the astronauts and their families who though they were on an eight day mission in the ISS and turns out to be eight months.