It shouldn't be a problem for our TB members to figure out the chord progression of the following Pop song.
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Hmmm. I'm so screwed / have to work hard.
once you have played a lot of songs, much of what you'll hear is familiar. Music has natural patterns and many popular songs will follow one of these patterns, so if you've played them enough, you'll have a pretty good idea about where a song is going to go, even if you haven't ever played it before.
That's the way I like to write. I think of the predictable thing and then do something elseYes.
Depending on the music style, your ears (and your brain) starts recognizing those "possible" chord progression patterns, plus, the Melody also contributes a lot with the prediction of the next chord/s.
When I was younger, I used to dabble in writing songs/instrumentals. Over a long(-er) period of time, you tend to develop a skill of predicting the chord progression through the Melody movement.
Yes, sometimes the Melody (and the chord progression) could take a very unusual turn. That's when you say, "WOW!"
But, for the most part, if you can recognize progressions, scales, arpeggios, modes, etc, you can usually hear the bass part and see it in your mind's eye while mentally interpreting the change

It shouldn't be a problem for our TB members to figure out the chord progression of the following Pop song.
Hmmm. I'm so screwed / have to work hard.
Just watch this video until you pretty much have the sounds of these common chord progressions memorized.
Yes, sometimes it could be difficult for a lot of musicians, including myself.
I would start with very simple (harmony-wise) pop songs and let my brain to recognize/internalize those simple chord progression.
Let's start with the following (constant) 3-chord progression track.
Can you listen and try to figure (approximately) what's happening with the chords?