Yeah, but I AM talking about what the market will bear! (Virtually) nobody cares about the "quality" of the music, the musicians, the singing, or the recording! Just look at the sound-vomit that sells TV commercials and world tour tickets! Listen to anything from Kid Rock! He opened the NFL kickoff last week with the dumbest song I've ever heard. South Park cannot possibly satirize him - Kid Rock is self-satire!
And that's what the market wants! And it wants it all for virtually free! You could not possibly get a record company to produce, for a 4 piece rock band, a 30 track double album and force everyone to pay $20 for it - no stealing, no downloading, no copying. That's essentially what The Beatles did with The White Album, and IMHO it will never. happen. again. Virtually nobody wants that, and virtually nobody will pay for it.
The RIAA, you, me, Jesus, and John Rambo can moan about enforcing copyrights for recorded music as loudly as we like, but at the end of the day, the cat is out of the bag. The "industry" can produce recordings that meet the "quality" demands of the masses for a tiny percentage of what they used to cost. The market will no longer bear paying even $15 for an album, physical or digital.
So I go full circle - history will look at the years of 1950-1990 as an aberration, when it was briefly possible to get rich selling musical recordings. Never before, and never since.
I pretty much agree as far as the present day market is concerned. But it's a huge leap to go from that, to "this is how it will be for all time". You haven't made an argument that can bridge that gap. I realize it looks that way now in our local area (
not the entire world), but things always change, especially in areas affected by technology.
There are in fact many millions of albums sold at that price or more each year at present, and many people who do see it as a matter of their ethics to buy the music they want to listen to and support its ongoing existence. (Which is not to say that there are not many more who don't see it that way.)
That said, with the market largely spoiled because it's hard to compete with free, let's say it's a generational thing that you just can't get comparable #s of people to pay for recordings for, say, 20 or 30 years.
What happens ? Does music continue to be made just the same as always despite the revenue stream drying up ? Of course not. High quality recording, like high quality musicianship, becomes more and more scarce; it is tied to the remains of the old revenue stream. To get really good at something complex, you have to do it all the time at a high level, and as a hobbyist, your time and resources are always more limited than for a pro getting paid for their time.
Does the demand for music go away ? I doubt it.
If you share that doubt, then what's left ? We're talking about the future audience a decade or two from now either deciding that the newest, more electronic and cheaply/hobbyist produced music is all they'll ever want, or, that audience deciding they want better sounding or better played music.
And this is not a today question, but I would point out that there is little evidence of widespread satisfaction with the kind of music that is being made by hobbyists. Home recorded albums that sell are scarce. There have been a few, and all of those that I've ever heard of had considerable pro work done on them anyway, or were done in lavish home studios of established artists that were still tied to the old revenue stream.
And then there's the technology. As of today, it's generally considered impractical to enforce anti piracy laws. However, the laws are there, and what is possible from a technology point of view changes rapidly; just look at 30 years ago compared to today, and imagine more change than that in the next 30, because that's how it's been going for about 100 years.
Effective (if not perfect) anti piracy methods would be a game changer. I think they are inevitable, and they will call the self entitled consumers' bluff. It's one thing to say that you won't buy any music (when you don't have to in order to enjoy it), and quite another to live in a world where you are denying yourself a pleasure. Most people are not into denying themselves.