Dear football fans, "tundra" means "frozen earth." To say "frozen tundra" is redundant. It's like saying P.I.N. number or A.T.M. machine. Anyway.
When I watched the Jaguars play the Patriots a couple of weeks ago I was really amazed at the Pats offensive line. I have, all season, felt that the main factor in NE's success this year is their offensive line. All day Monday the sportswriters were falling all over themselves to congratulate Brady. As they should, to some degree, Brady is a phenomenal QB. He's great. But could some writer please learn about the game and football and in so doing, recognize the superior offensive line play of NE and note that it's easier for a great QB to go 26-28 when he has no pressure on him.
What's my point?
Well, Brady is a very, very different QB facing pressure. All QBs are, but it's the way you beat NE. You limit the time on the field for NE's offense, with long, ball-controlling drives. Manning has been accurate, (thanks largely to the absence of a poor route-running Shockey). Burress presents a real challenge for the small NE corners, and has been hot lately. Bradshaw is running extremely well and I'm very excited to see what his speed can do to the NE LBs. While NE has a great secondary, (undersized though), their LBs are aging, and the long grind of the season is showing some effects. So, NY knows what it has to do on offense.
Defensively, NY has to create pressure. They couldn't beat Dallas twice during the season because the offensive line shut down NY's pass rushers. In the playoff game against Dallas, NY was successful and creating a lot of pressure the second half. Also, they've been effective against the run, (except the first half of the Dallas game). They have to get pressure on Brady, and chuck Welker and Moss at the line. You have to be confident that your corners can cover. If you drop into zones, Brady will pick you apart. Moss hasn't been the same late in the season, and I'm not totally sure what that is about. NY's defense is playing really well right now, stopping both the GB and Dallas offenses at home.
Pacman is absolutely right in pointing out that NE makes its living changing schemes. That doesn't negate the gameplan for NY. Get pressure, which can result in turnovers, and control the ball offensively.
NE has a habit of playing safe defense for the first 3 quarters and going aggressive defensively in the 4th quarter. This is why teams, (NY, Indy, Dallas, Baltimore, Philly), have lost leads late in the game and wound up losing the game. NY couldn't handle this earlier in the season and Manning threw a bad pick. Will NY be ready for it this time?
NY is hot, and I'll give them points for that. NE has been winning, but they have lost the swagger they had earlier in the season. I think NY will win. If so, Manning will probably get MVP. If NE wins, they'll give it to Brady, although in all likelihood it will be Welker or Maroney that deserves it, but these things are political anyway, so...