OK, if we take that $15,000 estimate as in the ballpark (and I'm not going to dispute it, given that it looks liike the object in question is mostly an assembly of dry-rotted wooden strips in the general form of a double bass), what does that estimate mean? Materials to repair this thing will surely cost less than $1000, and probably more like $500. So we're talking about $14,000 in labor. At $75/hour shop rate, that implies that an experienced qualified luthier would spend about 190 hours working on this. That's five weeks, solid, 40 hours a week, with all necessary tools and supplies instantly ready to hand and done at full speed, just as if it were gluing up a simple seam separation or adjusting a soundpost. Honestly, five full time weeks for an experienced person sounds awful short to me.
I'd say the most likely outcome for this thing is to end up on a restaurant wall for decoration. Anyone who takes it on with the hope of making it into a usable musical instrument is 99% certain to leave it partly disassembled after a couple years. After which it either becomes firewood or gets mounted on a restaurant wall for decoration.
Some restoration work, like correcting the arch, has to be allowed to settle, which adds time to the job. Carving a new neck for a graft isn't a quick job, either. Someone I know had a small Italian bass that was damaged by some ill-advised "restoration"; the re-arching and belly patch alone took a year.
