But the idea that you can do A,B,C, etc. and automatically land big-time success is a bit misguided, IMO.
That I agree that nothing is "automatic". But we should focus our efforts to maximise our exposure to the good luck.
There is a ton of stuff that bands will do/fail to do that will sabotage their own opportunities if they assume it's luck that will get them success.
you identify these thigns as "luck":
(paraphrased)
-having a certain degree of natural talent
-an ability to write and perform music that connects with masses of people
-make the right connections with... musicians, producers, concert promoters, record execs, etc, at the right time.
-Timing - how your music fits in with the zeitgeist/pop trends
I think that a lot of the factors you identify as luck above are in fact skills you can develop, and circumstances you can pursue.
You can study, practice and acquire more "talent"...dedicated, sustained effort inevitably trumps talent in the long run
You can study songwriting as a craft, and nurture a sincere appreciation and affinity for music with broad appeal
(or define a more narrow audience for your "success" threshold that is in line with the music you love to make)
you can keep abrest of the scene and develope connections with the current musicians, producers, promoters, labels
(again, defining a more narrow audience reduces teh choices to a practical level)
Connections come from finding and being a part of the "scene" that is your particualr band's pond.
Timing with zietgiest may seem more like luck than anything else.
But I think that there is a lot of work done below the surface of any pop culture pehnom that we never see,
and it gives the illusion that it 'just happens' to coincide with some trend.
You can get a lot of mileage out of pursuing your own small corner of the larger culture.
Lady Gaga was presumably a big NYC club hit before she became a rediculous pop diva.
Metallica was by word of mouth considered the quintessential Metal act before they ever appeard on MTV and became obscenely huge.
The Beatles were the best band in liverpool before they were Fab...etc
There are things you can control and there are things you can't ("luck"),
but between those two is large area of things you can influence, if you are of a mind to try.
over time, with sustained sincere and intelligent effort, you can increase the circle of influence to inlcude more and more "luck"
Of course there are no gaurantees, unless you fail to even try.
