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NCAA Basketball - 2011

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I have three teams that I have a genuine rooting interest in. My grad school, UNC. My daughter's school, UConn and my father-in-law's alma mater, Marquette.

UNC and Marquette play tonight - which in some ways is a no win situation. If UNC wins, my Marquette season ticket holder in-laws will be mad at me. And if Carolina loses, I'll be bummed.

Then, UNC and UConn could meet in the semi-finals.

It should be fun - the teams that are left have been playing pretty good ball lately.

The 538 blog tournament probability table is pretty interesting.
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It has Ohio State followed closely by Kansas as the most likely winners based on what's happened so far. Florida and has the next best chance according his models. The 8-12 seeds are not given very good chances and the higher seeds that have to go through Ohio State (Kentucky, UNC, UConn) are not much better.

It would be interesting to see how much it would change should OSU or Kansas lose their next game. Florida's chances would go up a lot but so would Kentucky and UNC if they win tonight, and UConn.
 
As I said in an earlier post, VCU's coach is a former Gator assistant. Also, my girlfriend lives close to Richmond. So I'm pulling for VCU.

I'd like to see Richmond take out Kansas, but I just don't see it happening. I think Marquette has a relatively better chance of taking down the Heels, and I have no love for UNC.

OSU/Kentucky, I have no real loyalties. OSU looks way too good right now.