Well, the Cubs are officially out of the playoffs, as well they should be. Even before their epic meltdown (8 losses in a row and counting), there wasn't much chance of them going very far.
True, if you look at the big-picture stats, they're not bad at all. 10th in MLB in runs scored and 7th in pitching ERA is a pretty good combo, right? And they still have the 4th best run differential in the NL. And they should put up these numbers, it's a talented roster.
But they simply lacked consistency and too often didn't play solid fundamental baseball. They've committed the 4th-most errors in all of MLB. They're either #1 or #2 in baserunning outs, and that's despite hardly ever attempting to steal bases. And the team save percentage is the 8th-worst in MLB.
The latter stat owes primarily to the front office. We started the season without a closer, and signing Kimbrel has turned out to be a blunder so far. Joe Maddon's questionable bullpen management hasn't helped. And the poor fundamentals have to fall in the manager's lap.
So the run differential owes to some big blowouts, and a lot of one-run losses.
I think Joe is probably gone. He will forever be loved here for managing the team to a title, and his overall record with the Cubs is still really strong. But the team has underperformed two years in a row, and the window of this core group isn't going to last forever.
Speaking of that group, I expect significant changes there as well. The team does need depth, and some younger pitching. I'll be shocked if Baez or Rizzo are traded. But trading Bryant isn't out of the realm of possibility. While he's been the most productive hitter by a nose, he has a tendency to not do as well in clutch situations, his fielding went downhill this year, and--most importantly--his agent is Scott Boras, which means contract demands when he hits free agency after the 2021 season are probably going to be very high. He turned down $200 million a year ago.
I'm still optimistic about the future. But nervous about what changes will be made.