Ah, no. Not exactly. I say forget about what the PRO's may say they collected from terrestrial radio in 2012, for example. This is 2019 (almost 2020), and PRO's can say whatever they want. Just look at the hard facts.
The performance royalty for airplay (paid to the songwriter and / or to their publisher) as I recall is $0.06 per spin. The numbers you provided propose, "a songwriter/composer makes about $0.08 for every 1,000 streams on Pandora". According to your numbers, Pandora pays more or less a thousand times less per play than the performance royalty to be in rotation on terrestrial radio. That hardly constitutes parity between the radio airplay performance royalty and the stats you cited for "plays" on Pandora.
The performance royalty for airplay is PER SPIN. The performance royalty for streaming is much closer to PER LISTENER.
The average radio spin involves 5,000-10,000 listeners.
The average stream involves 1-2 listeners.
The consensus is unequivocally that Spotify and like streaming subscriptions have wiped out the traditional airplay model ($0.06 per spin)
Radio revenues have been up year on year every year since 2008.
Touring and merchandise are the last traditional way to make money as a recording artist, and that's a tough way to go without record sales to back it up. Surely you are not challenging this well known fact. Are you? Because it's unchangeable.
Performance is the only traditional way of making money at music. Selling recorded music as a revenue stream is a blip of a small segment of the 20th century - a historical outlier, not the "traditional" nature of things.
Incidentally, the two largest terrestrial radio broadcasters in the United States, iHeartMedia, the operator of 850 stations and its rival Cumulus, the operator of 445 stations have filed for bankruptcy reorganization. Nashville has diminished to less than half it's former glory and reportedly, to give directions there people use landmarks such as where so and so's offices used to be, or where so and so studios used to be. The major labels have seriously diminished in size as well. If you haven't noticed, the entire music industry is on life-support. Just saying. Good luck with the release of your new material.
1) Couldn't have happened to better (or more corrupt) folks.
2) What has been will be again, what has been done will be done again; there is nothing new under the sun. This isn't a change of tradition - it's a return to tradition.
3) I can release any new material I write 1,000 times easier today than 20 years ago, and 1,000 times easier 20 years ago than 40.
