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This is curious. If you look at the Bama and UF games this past weekend, one team could possibly have been accused of being overconfident and looking ahead. And it wasn't Florida.
I can find this info somewhere if I get some time. It wasn't a HUGE difference, but it was what I ment by "indicator", which was a poor choice of wording on my part. From memory, from those common opponents (FIU not included at the time), Bama had on average scored more points, and allowed less. But I think the average difference was less than 3 points. So it is VERY close. It would be easy to average up the scores you posted, but the other source I had also included total offense, defense, turnover margin, sacks, sacks given up, etc. All those numbers where more solidly in Bama's favor than the scoring margin.i would also link to this week's "edsbs the magazine" cover, but... you'll have to check it out yourself. the "cover story" (it's not really a magazine...) is "SIX 7-5 SEC TEAMS TO SPLIT ACC TITLE."
(laughing so hard tears stream down face.)
alright, i'll try and do some stats searches on the common opponents florida and alabama played. like eublet said, this doesn't in any way determine who wins on saturday, but it's the best we've got.
Tennessee:
@Florida: 13-23
@Alabama: 10-12
Kentucky:
Florida: 7-41
Alabama: 20-38
LSU:
Florida: 3-13
@Alabama: 15-24
Arkansas:
@Florida: 20-23
@Alabama: 7-35
Miss State:
Florida: 19-29
Alabama: 3-31
South Carolina:
Florida: 14-24
@Alabama: 6-20
someone else will have to track down the yards of offense gained and given up, since i can't find it. also, i didn't put in the chronology, but that's easy enough to see. removing the chronological aspect, it looks like out of the six common opponents, florida performed better against three and alabama performed better against the other three. considering that two of those are the horrible games florida played against arkansas and mississippi state, i'm not too worried, since florida seems to have gotten it together since then.
Agreed. I think Bama could be accused of being over confident in the Iron Bowl, but personally I think that had little to do with the way things went down. Auburn showed up with a good gameplan to get out in front quickly with some big gambles. The biggest was that onside kick, but all those motion plays were very gimmicky, and having a full two weeks to practice them definitely helped their chances of it working. Those first two touchdowns was all Auburn, and they should get credit. We could have done better with the defense, but honestly nothing like that had been tried by them all year. We adjusted, and that stuff quit working completely.This is curious. If you look at the Bama and UF games this past weekend, one team could possibly have been accused of being overconfident and looking ahead. And it wasn't Florida.
Good stuff, Mike.
Unbeliever....he'll beat you guys again this year and you still won't believe it. Seriously....I know what you mean. This whole "promise" storyline sure makes the season much more sensational though. I'm getting mileage out of it too.
Sticking to facts, the guys you feel can be the difference for Bama this go around weren't able to last year, so I see no difference this time. Well, we lost Harvin who was playing on a bum ankle. Oh yeah, Murphy is gone too. Mullen too.
-Mike
One important note: Percy didn't play at all against Bama last year. Murphy had a pretty good game, though.I wouldn't give Snead or McCluster a whole lot of credit--their performances were fairly unremarkable other than Snead connecting on one bomb. Here's the box score:
